As the Eurozone continues to crumble, it would be wise not to forget that we are not any better off here in the United States. We have the benefit of being the reserve currency of the world. This let’s us print money until a $1,000,000 won’t buy you a cup of coffee. Certainly, if you think the act of printing money is going to solve economic problems, you’d also find no problem with a million dollar cup of coffee. For the rest of us–sane individuals–we know this is no good.

There is no historical evidence to suggest that money printing has ever done anything except destroy economies. Just ask the people of Zimbabwe.

We’ve already enacted bailouts in the tune of trillions with no upturn in the economy. Unemployment remains high. There is no recovery without employment. The idea that unemployment is a “lagging indicator” is ridiculous. It isn’t a lagging indicator, it’s the only indicator. The stock market can go as high as it wants. A high nominal value is meaningless. As much as the stock market has “recovered”, how stable is it? When the Dow Jones can drop 1000 points in a matter of minutes, we know we aren’t standing on solid ground.

This is volatility like we’ve never seen.

Bye Bye EU

There is an excellent chance the Euro won’t be around for much longer. It was an idiot’s idea to begin with. Who has it actually helped? No offense to any of the member nations of the EU but, the only really productive nation is Germany. The rest of you are–more or less–freeloaders. Ultimately, the EU has been great for the rest of you who do very little while Germany carries your asses.

That might be okay with you but, let’s not forget how the Euro has killed tourism. It is just too damn expensive for people to travel to Europe. Especially the big spenders from America. It’s lovely that you have a “stronger” currency–for now. But, what good has it done for your economy? Imposing a strong currency on a weak economy is economically unnatural. You become dependent on the entity that imposed this currency. Example: Greece.

The Greeks are rioting. They are burning buildings. Killing people. I do not support any of it but, the Greeks will do what they do. I am glad we haven’t resorted to that here in the United States. Force isn’t the answer. We can still accomplish what we need with peace.

But, can you blame the Greeks for rioting? The EU wants to impose austerity on Greece. Sounds like a nice word. But, what does it mean? It means the Greek people are going to suffer a drastically reduced standard of living. How happy would you be if some foreign entity forcefully made you poorer? I do mean foreign. The EU is not Greece.

None of this were the fault of the Greek people. It was the European Central Bank that kept interest rates too low for too long that allowed the bubble in the Eurozone to grow. This bubble is most devastating to weaker economies like Greece, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland. This should be to no one’s surprise but, those same nations are all in trouble. At this point, it’s just a matter of time.

The EuroBubble

Anyone with any sense could have seen that this arrangement with the EU was only going to end terribly. With the ECB, the Greek government no longer had to raise taxes on the people to fund their idiotic projects. They just had to create bonds, sell it to the ECB, and voila! brand new spanking Euros! This is the same arrangement the US Treasury has with the Federal Reserve.

Low and behold, Greek never had the capacity to pay all the bonds they created! And now Greece is where they are now: about to default. But we can’t have that! Those holding Greek bonds would lose a boatload of money. And apparently, those holders have friends in high places. I have no idea who owns Greek bonds but, I would not be surprised if some of our financial wizards on Wall St owned some. These are the same geniuses that bet on mortgage-backed derivatives so, it isn’t a far stretch.

On Mother’s Day, May 9th, 2010, the Federal Reserve agreed to be one of the handful of central banks to provide for the almost $1 trillion EU bailout. Great. American taxpayers are going to be on the hook for economic crises in Europe too. We really must be rich!

But, no. We aren’t. Our economy is still in the toilet. There are now a record number of Americans on food stamps. Yea, shit hasn’t gotten better.

The Last Straw

Our involvement in the EU bailout isn’t going to implode what remains of our economy. In the bigger picture, our involvement in the EU is negligible. This doesn’t mean we should be involved. We surely should not be.

The implosion of our economy was ensured as we enacted our own bailouts and increased the national debt to over 90% of GDP. It is going to go over 100% of GDP in no time with the gigantic budget deficits–bigger than the GDP of Canada. But even that wouldn’t necessarily result in armageddon. Japan’s debt is 200% of GDP and they’re still around. Granted, they have a zombie economy. But even a zombie is still “alive”–reanimated, whatever.

The last straw is going to be when interest rates go up. They have to. Either interest rates stay low and we suffer from massive inflation or we raise interest rates, the interest payments on the national debt becomes sky high, so we print money to pay it, and suffer from massive inflation anyway. No matter what, inflation is coming. And it’s going to destroy what remains of the US economy.

I won’t even include the $60 trillion of unfunded liabilities from Social Security and Medicare. No matter how slowly those unfunded liabilities become funded, inflation is unavoidable. It would take some magical free market ingenuity to create a bunch of Apple’s and Google’s for the economy to “grow” its way out of this.

This is highly unlikely. It would be more likely that you win the lottery tomorrow than it would be for a crippled and handicapped free market to create an army of companies like Apple and Google within the next decade. But, this is what the people in government are hoping for! Cross your fingers!

A Ray of Sunlight

This is a terribly dark future. But, there is some good to all of this. Granted, it would be much better if we never bailed out Wall St and we didn’t grow government to the size it has become but, too late for that. We have what we have and there’s no sign that we can change course in time.

If we can cut the size of government drastically and alleviate the tax burden drastically, there is some hope that the worse won’t happen. But again, this is about as likely as “growing” our way out of the problem.

The only likely ray of sunlight is the fresh start we all get when the US Dollar collapses. It won’t be fun to get there but, at least the end of the rainbow will be a pot of gold.

In February of 2009, there was only one country without any national debt: Zimbabwe. They had a fresh start. Super markets with empty shelves as price controls were enacted by the government are once again plentiful.

Ultimately, this is not going to be fun. The other bright side is that all the technology we have are still going to be here. Economic destruction doesn’t just make these leaps in civilization disappear. It will never be as bad as the Great Depression or the Dark Ages. We have better technology. Humanity has improved virtually everything we do. Even Kings never had air conditioners or computers.

No matter the shit storm, it could always be–and has been–worse.

I am currently debating a friend of mine about the theory of natural monopolies. He has an economics degree from NYU. I have a degree in marketing but, I also study the works of the Austrian School of Economics. Clearly, his credentials are greater than mine on this topic but, in this case, natural monopolies is a myth taught at schools across the country.

In this video, Thomas DiLorenzo debunks the myth of the natural monopoly. You can find his written research paper here provided by the Mises Institute. The theory of natural monopoly does not logically fit with fundamental laws of economics.

Almost everything the government has done to rescue our faltering economy has been kicking it while it is down. From the bailouts to the stimulus packages to cap and trade and universal health care bills, it is a miracle the economy is functioning at all. It is crazy to criticize saving the economy, the environment, and improving the standard of living for Americans so that is not what I’m doing. I want the economy to come back, the environment to be clean, and the standard of living to be high.

The disconnect is that while the government says they want to do all those good things, they will end up accomplishing the opposite.

I’ve talked plenty about how the government’s attempts at rescuing the economy is the equivalent of giving a drug addict more drugs, how man-made climate change is a load of crap, and how the problem with healthcare is the excessive amount of government involvement. So, I won’t beat a dead horse. I will instead tackle another unpopular topic: the minimum wage.

If it was up to me, the minimum wage would be $0. The minimum wage is promoted as a means to create wealth equality and provide all Americans with a livable income but, the reality is nothing that is promoted. A minimum wage keeps more workers out of work.

The government is essentially saying that if you do not have the skills to warrant whatever the minimum wage is, you should not work. Sound backwards? It’s not. There is no reason for a company to hire you for $7.25 to do a job that is worth much less. So where there was a chance for people without skills to take a lower wage to learn the skills so that they can get ahead in life, the government takes it away.

If you made some wrong decisions or life just threw you a bad hand, you no longer have the means to work your way up. The government eliminated the steps at the bottom of the ladder and if you can’t jump high enough to reach the new bottom, you are screwed. To fix this unemployment problem, the government puts a band-aid over it by offering welfare for the people the government put out of work! How grand.

To compound the problem, the government via the Federal Reserve inflates the money supply to fund all their welfare/warfare projects and our cost of living goes up. To solve this problem, the government raises the minimum wage because it is now more expensive to live. The increased minimum wage puts more workers out of work and the government needs to offer more welfare by printing, borrowing, or taxing and the cost of living goes up more! This is the vicious cycle created by government and further made worse by more government intervention.

No one in Congress is going to vote no to the increase in the minimum wage because it is politically unpopular–except Ron Paul and a few others who understand economics and unintended consequences.

No one wants to see the actual picture of what the minimum wage does. When people criticize the minimum wage and call for its abolition–like myself–we are labeled as monsters who do not care about the poor. I am not multi-millionaire and I don’t make that much money. I just understand economics. I don’t care about the poor as much as I care about myself–I won’t lie about it.

I find little wrong with putting yourself, family, and friends first before random strangers. It is terrible that people are living in poverty but I am not so far away that the policies I support will benefit me at the expense of the poor. It will benefit everyone.

It is an economic lie that the minimum wage is good for the economy. If the minimum wage can solve our poverty problems, why not just make it $100/hr and everyone would be rich! Obviously, we can see that it would be disastrous and practically everyone will be out of a job or prices will be sky high for everything.

So as usual, the government is kicking the economy while it is down with this minimum wage increase.

In the many efforts to close the budget gap in New York, Governor Patterson is proposing to free the sale of wine to supermarkets. It is unfortunate that this only being discussed now that the government needs money. There are no good reasons why supermarkets aren’t allowed to sell wine now. Ideally, any store that wants to sell wine should be allowed to.

Why do wine and liquor stores get a monopoly? We know that monopolies are bad. The more competition there is in the market, the better it will be for the end consumer–us.

I’ve seen little flyers at my local supermarket in support of this and I’ve heard the arguments against it. Those against the freeing of wine sales have a weak case at best.

“In addition to charging grocery stores franchise fees of varying amounts for the right to sell wine, it would nearly triple the excise tax on wine sales and eliminate financing for the New York Wine and Grape Foundation, a trade group.”

An increase in excise taxes is a bad thing but the elimination or reduction of government financing for the New York Wine and Grape Foundation is perfectly fine. Why do they need subsidies in the first place? If the foundation cannot exist without government aid then it shouldn’t exist at all. The active participants in the wine industry can maintain their own foundation.

As a consumer, I would love it if I could buy wine at my local supermarket. However, I wouldn’t expect any specialty wines at a supermarket. There will always be a market for specialty wine and liquor stores. It will likely be a smaller market and their business models may have to change but, that is how business is. There is never a guarantee that your market will stay the same forever nor a guarantee that you will stay in business forever.

The mere fact that the government grants wine stores a monopoly on the sale of wine makes consumers worse off. The availability of wine will increase and the price will decrease. This is better for the wine industry as a whole as the market will expand.

“A coalition known as the Last Store on Main Street, representing 2,742 New York wine sellers and liquor store owners, says the move would force more than 1,000 such stores out of business and lead to a loss of more than 4,000 jobs.”

Those who lose their jobs due to this can find jobs elsewhere. There is no reason why millions should suffer just because thousands will lose their jobs. The benefit to society is greater than the loss.

“I’m a parent,” he said. “For the 25 years I’ve been in business, I’ve been extremely conscious of people who try to buy liquor when they’re not legally entitled to it. So I’m concerned kids might be able to get alcohol more easily. I don’t want those kids on the road.”

The argument of an increased sale of alcohol to minors is asinine. Supermarkets already sell beer and card their patrons. The process of the sale of beer can just as easily be applied to the sale wine. This is clearly a moot point. Ideally, there would be no age restriction on the purchase of alcohol but, this is the society we live in.

“And are more people going to drink more wine just because it’s in a grocery store? I don’t think so,” Mr. Massoud said. “I think the demand is finite.”

That is just a gross misunderstanding of economics. Demand is always infinite. It is supply and price that keeps demand in check. We always want more things. If prices are lowered, demand will go up. It is an absolute certainty that more people will drink wine if it was more widely available and cheaper.

It is about time NY got rid of the wine monopoly. It will be better for all of us.